Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Decouplists - Gone but Not Forgotten

Today is certainly not a time to speak about the strength of the "decoupling theory" or any other concept that rests its laurels on the rise of domestic growth in the developing world. 

However, although the "Decouplists" might be in hiding due to their overly optimistic (some would claim naive) assertions that domestic growth would come online in the 2008-2010 period, I would caution investors not to disregard the strategic validity of the arguments and take an overly negative stance on the long-term viability of the theory. 

Clearly, the theory was debunked as it related to the developing world's ability to stand independent and shake off the near-term material negative consequences of a US-led recession. However, as the developing world is righted and the middle class continues to expand, domestic growth will inevitably provide the respective economies with autonomous engines of growth.

The "Decouplists" are gone but not forgotten. 

Wednesday, January 7, 2009

New Beginnings

Starting to post regularly. Viva la revolucion Ripple!

Tuesday, April 17, 2007

Long-term Change and Investing

The world is changing. It is changing now and it will change tomorrow, again. Change is everywhere. Its frequency is accelerating. Its duration is lengthening. And, its magnitude is deepening and broadening. Change is fast and disruptive. As much as these statements might appear to be self-evident truths, change is not always front and center and continues to possess the remarkable capability to blindside decision-makers.

In an increasingly integrated world, where geographic and traditional industry sector boundaries are becoming less relevant, seeing the big picture, mapping interdependencies and assessing the dynamics of structural change have never been more important.

Over the course of the next several months we intend to explore the forces of structural change that are affecting the societal, technological, economic and political landscapes and hope to highlight the benefits of building an investment process that focuses on developing frameworks for contextualizing change and enabling capitalization.

Comments and thoughts are always welcome. See you soon.